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Activity title

Enhancing Energy Security Resilience, Capabilities and Interoperability

Activity Reference

SAS-190

Panel

SAS

Security Classification

NATO UNCLASSIFIED

Status

Active

Activity type

RSY

Start date

2024-01-15T00:00:00Z

End date

2026-01-14T00:00:00Z

Keywords

capabilities and interoperability, Cyber defense, Energy security, Hybrid Warfare, operational energy, resilience

Background

In January 2023, the NATO Science and Technology Board (STB) authorized the formation of, a Research Task Group entitled, “Enhancing Energy Security Resilience, Capability and Interoperability.” (SAS-183) The goal was to continue the work initiated under SAS-163, “Energy Security in the Era of Hybrid Warfare”, notably addressing threats that hybrid warfare tactics posed to the NATO Member States’ energy sector, and by extension, the Alliance’s cohesion. More specifically, SAS-183 looks more closely at regional analyses on NATO’s eastern members and early warning technologies in cyber domain.

Objectives

The purpose of the proposed Research Symposium is to organize a multi-day event dedicated to deeper analysis of the concepts and challenges addressed in SAS-183. Through a Call for Papers, inviting keynote speakers and dedicated workshops, the event will increase the depth and scope of critical areas, with an underlying theme of improving resilience, capabilities, and interoperability. The event will focus on the exchange of ideas and best practices, as well as to highlight the study’s accomplishments and more narrowly focus on ways to enhance NATO member states’ resilience, capabilities and interoperability in a hybrid warfare/energy security context. In this context, paper presentations will be used in development of the SAS-183 study. For our purposes, we identify these attributes in the following manner: ­- Resilience as the ability of NATO member states collectively or individually to deter, detect, withstand, and recover from a variety of hybrid tactics launched against the energy infrastructure; ­- Capability as allowing NATO to operate more effectively in an energy-constrained environment, and; ­- Interoperability, which permits the member states to interact seamlessly in different environments, conditions and platforms. ­- Military responsibilities within the broader civilian energy context ­- The necessary balance between society and military energy needs

Topics

The symposium’s presentation and panels will focus on the following five topics: 1) Enhanced regional focus on the Baltic, Black, and Arctic Seas The symposium will highlight the work done by the teams dedicated to the Arctic, Black and Baltic Seas. While these analyses will be separate, there will be an interrelated component which emphasizes standardized capabilities and interoperability in the energy sector across all disciplines. The NATO defense posture along with the broader area of hybrid warfare and the supply chain will also be considered. This symposium will explore the potential of a deeper analysis of the continued threat posed to NATO member state security via the confluence of hybrid warfare and the energy sector. 2) The broader geo-political implications and strategic foresight assessment Notably, how does NATO operate in the energy global commons and what future considerations should be considered? What challenges and investments should the Alliance consider addressing the mid-century security environment, notably in the eastern tier? 3) Enhancing NATO resilience, capabilities and interoperability Emphasis on military operational capabilities development and interoperability, and better integration into the NATO Warfare Development Agenda (WDA), Line of Deliveries (LODs) and the NATO Defense Planning Process (NDPP). Interoperability deserves greater emphasis. The goal is to identify gaps and inform current capabilities and interoperability. Resilience among NATO warfighters is the ability to operate in a potentially resource-constrained environment. Resource-constraints can arise from conflict, or from the energy transition to meet net-zero targets by 2050. A deeper assessment of malign influence in the energy sector will be explored. For instance, the importance of an effective strategic communications division to address misinformation efforts will be a main emphasis of the symposium. 4) Advanced Cyber Defense Topics Concentrating on Early Warning The cyber working group will focus on creating a virtual model prototype to improve maritime security by protecting energy critical infrastructure from cyber-attacks. Specifically, the model will focus on the topic: "Threat detection and cyber security incidents prevention in microgrids using emerging technologies - Energy resilience through automatic insulation". How can a microgrid best be isolated from national grid infrastructure to ensure independent energy security and protection from cyber-attacks? Energy storage systems and controllable loads may also be examined. The prototype will use real data from microgrid hardware, wind turbines, photovoltaic panels, biomass, and wave energy extractors to create accurate detection of normal cyber behavior for early detection of malicious cyber intrusions into energy critical infrastructure. The University of Constanta has received EU funding that will provide for the software and hardware needed to produce the virtual demonstrator prototype. It is anticipated a demonstration of the prototype will be conducted during the symposium. 5) Exercise Results SAS-183 anticipates a successful completion of Nordic Pine 23 in September of 2023, from which relevant findings can be discussed at the symposium and leveraged for the final paper. We also anticipate other exercises, possibly in the Black Sea, which will balance our analysis on NATO’s eastern tier.

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